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May 28, 2020

The attempt to hold China responsible for its failure to alert the WHO of the novel new Corona virus requires ignoring the evidence that it did. The attempt to hold China culpable for punishing an early whistleblower also turns out to be false. The attempt to blame China for not shutting down Wuhan once the virus appeared ignores the fact that it took the U.S. twice as long to do so once the virus appeared in the U.S. In fact, the entire blame China game is a desperate attempt by the administration to escape its own culpability to prevent the deaths off now more than 100,000 Americans — about the same number of total U.S. deaths in the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Afghan War and the Iraqi War, combined.
——Marvin Zonis


May 20, 2020

The U.S. editor for the "Financial Times” writes a devastating critique of the President’s Covid-19 performance.
——Marvin Zonis


May 09, 2020

The Middle East has now suffered two devastating blows — the Covid-19 pandemic and the collapse in oil prices. Further instability seems inevitable.
——Marvin Zonis


April 21, 2020

By Marvin Zonis

Arundhati Roy, the controversial Indian born novelist and essayist, recently wrote:

“And in the midst of this terrible despair, it offers us a chance to rethink the doomsday machine we have built for ourselves. Nothing could be worse than a return to normality. Historically, pandemics have forced humans to break with the past and imagine their world anew. This one is no different. It is a portal, a gateway between one world and the next.

We can choose to walk through it, dragging the carcasses of our prejudice and hatred, our avarice, our data banks and dead ideas, our dead rivers and smoky skies behind us. Or we can walk through lightly, with little luggage, ready to imagine another world. And ready to fight for it.”[i]

The pandemic will have major consequences on people, governments, countries and their relationships. But those consequences will be less the result of “imagination” and more to do with forces unleashed by Covid19.

Three such forces stand out: Petroleum, Population and Protectionism.


April 16, 2020

This study shows the conditions under which mid-term elections can predict the outcome of the next presidential election.
——Marvin Zonis


April 01, 2020

By Marvin Zonis

Senior U.S. officials are advancing policies to deal with Iran that will not succeed in accomplishing American goals.


March 23, 2020

By Marcus Aurelius (121-180)
From his “The Meditations”


March 23, 2020

Here’s a welcome optimistic construal of the effects off the Coronavirus
--Marvin Zonis


March 12, 2020

By A Former Student

I don't doubt the accuracy of your forecast. But if I can be so bold: What is to be done? What prescription follows from it?


March 10, 2020

A startlingly original piece by a former student. Your comments are very welcome. Please respond to marvin.zonis@chicagobooth.edu
-- Marvin Zonis


March 05, 2020

By Marvin Zonis

Zalmay Khalilzad, Special Representative for Afghanistan, has pulled off a peace deal with the Taliban. There are obvious benefits for the United States. But the outcome for Afghanistan and for all of South Asia is much more dire.


February 24, 2020

Over the last few month’s I’ve been working with Lawrie Philpott of Philpott Black in London to create a brand new website totally dedicated to the demanding and complex subject of leadership in today’s world - and, equally importantly, leadership in the future.

This week we’ve launched the site and I want you to be aware of it and, hopefully, to look it over and also to tell your friends. Here’s an overview of what’s on offer:


February 17, 2020

There are good reasons to imagine that when the epidemic is over, President Xi will liberalize China’s economy to restore economic growth. This is a time to hang tough and even buy the dip.
——Marvin Zonis


February 12, 2020

President Trump has released his FY 2021 budget. While unpacking the numbers for all military related expenditures is tricky, it appears that U.S. expenditures on war will exceed $1 trillion.
——Marvin Zonis


Publications

Books

The Kimchi Matters: Global Business and Local Politics in a Crisis Driven World,
co-authors Daniel Lefkovitz and Sam Wilkin, Chicago: Agate Press, 2003

The Eastern European Opportunity, A Complete Guide and Sourcebook,
co-author Dwight Semler, New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1992

Majestic Failure: The Fall of the Shah,
Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1991

Khomeini and the Islamic Republic of Iran,
co-author Daniel Brumberg, Cambridge: Harvard Middle East Papers
, 1987

The Political Elite of Iran.
Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1976
 

Press


Chicago Tribune
"Russian Protests Will Keep Haunting Putin"
April 3, 2017
 
Chicago Tribune
"Mission Creep and the Islamic State"
September 30, 2014
 
Chicago Tribune
"Plenty of Reasons for Ukraine's Grim Future"
March 5, 2014
 
Chicago Tribune
"Iran's New Leaders and the American Response"
August 5, 2013
 
EconoMonitor
"A Beheading in London; A Bombing in Boston: The Transformations of the al-Qaeda Threat"
May 24th, 2013
 
Chicago Tribune
"Realistic Optimism on Nuclear Talks with Iran"
May 22, 2012
 
International Business Times
"Austerity Push in Greece Leaves Citizens Hungry for Alternatives"
February 23, 2012
 
Advisor.ca
"US Economy Poised for Growth"
February 3, 2012
 
Chicago Tribune
"Will Israel Bomb Iran?"
November 13, 2011
 
Chicago Tribune
"MidEast Rulers of a Certain Age" [PDF]
March 6, 2011
 
Chicago Tribune
"Are We Going to Miss Mubarak?"
[PDF]
February 4, 2011
 
 
Archive

Les Echos
"Washington Risque de Regretter Le Depart d'Hosni Moubarak"
[PDF]
February 2, 2011
(French version)
 
Les Echos
"Washington Risque de Regretter Le Depart d'Hosni Moubarak"
 [PDF]
February 2, 2011
(English version)

Credit Suisse
"Middle East and Africa - Regulation Will Influence the
Future of Banking"
[PDF]
June 1, 2010

ROOZ, 1116
"The Iranian People Are Entitled to More Freedom"
[PDF]
February, 2010

The Wall Street Journal
"Russian Ripples Hit U.S. Firms - Sharp Slowdown in Consumer
Spending Is Felt From Cigarettes to Copier"
[PDF]
August 2009

The Mind of a Mullah
June 17, 2009

Focus Trends (Dutch)
"Obama Is Jezus Christus"
[PDF]
February 2009

GSB Magazine
"Faculty Smackdown with Marvin Zonis: From HBS Dropout
to Iran, Nightline, and the GSB"
Part One [PDF]
Part Two [PDF]
January, 2006